Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 6.925706 7.657023 8.470033 9.448182 10.602962 11.935473 13.608102
2025-01-26 5.772974 6.735601 7.898288 9.434758 11.457743 14.101359 17.947594
2025-02-02 5.403434 6.557576 8.041036 10.152320 13.198639 17.651775 25.145217
2025-02-09 5.055332 6.317545 8.018349 10.585168 14.581459 21.032003 33.519442
2025-02-16 4.673330 5.966710 7.771712 10.621039 15.334701 23.604991 41.795231
2025-02-23 4.454405 5.806301 7.758897 10.983889 16.667751 27.596314 55.581887
2025-03-02 4.085724 5.390326 7.313040 10.576177 16.557062 28.757569 63.494160
2025-03-09 3.803725 5.074717 6.983570 10.307872 16.637069 30.338518 74.037146
2025-03-16 3.590207 4.842477 6.758455 10.182340 16.959455 32.582609 89.263240
2025-03-23 3.498817 4.786667 6.805582 10.539650 18.334634 37.994948 125.364179
2025-03-30 3.286790 4.527405 6.495319 10.197159 18.134629 39.119196 143.901040
2025-04-06 3.070758 4.248776 6.131917 9.714217 17.534674 38.888853 154.955644
2025-04-13 2.884413 4.020732 5.860852 9.428078 17.458561 40.664153 188.614817
2025-04-20 2.756265 3.880613 5.733402 9.419191 18.080293 45.255114 270.341057
2025-04-27 2.749421 3.935785 5.948931 10.135182 20.750406 59.690333 671.980517
2025-05-04 2.699144 3.913814 6.022830 10.566949 22.844736 74.749498 2067.030645
2025-05-11 2.601927 3.804674 5.924772 10.602729 23.808683 85.830160 7578.185554
2025-05-18 2.551389 3.771871 5.966344 10.964648 25.952062 108.211158 NaN
2025-05-25 2.418538 3.586887 5.699853 10.557982 25.393555 111.000238 NaN
2025-06-01 2.311015 3.441157 5.499998 10.290354 25.265138 117.597538 NaN
2025-06-08 2.226608 3.332087 5.364525 10.165136 25.629347 129.849499 NaN
2025-06-15 2.196711 3.318640 5.417631 10.521547 27.969901 170.269532 NaN
2025-06-22 2.101338 3.181617 5.211009 10.179918 27.414024 175.124586 NaN